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UP Expert Predicts 140,000 COVID-19 Cases by End of August

They also recommend putting the NCR again under stricter quarantine to help control the spread of the virus.

We all remember the ecstatic statement made by Presidential Spokesperson Harry Roque, where he was obviously very happy to have “beaten” the University of the Philippines (UP) prediction of COVID-19 cases by the end of June.

Wala na po, panalo na tayo! We beat the UP prediction po. We beat it so congratulations, Philippines! Let’s do it again in July,” the spokesperson said.

Many were quick to mock the spokesperson’s statement, with some saying that all along they thought COVID-19 was our opponent, when in fact, it was UP. (Read: How Close Are We to Finding a COVID-19 Vaccine?)

Luis Manzano, son of actor Edu Manzano and Batangas 6th District representative Vilma Santos-Recto, even tweeted his reaction to the statement saying, “Akala ko the whole time COVID ang kalaban, UP pala!” His tweet garnered thousands of likes and retweets from people who shared the same sentiments as him.

However, Roque’s words will not seem to ring true this July. The UP prediction was 80,000 by the 31st, which was changed to 85,000 to 90,000 because of the thousands of cases recorded daily. But as of writing, there are already over 82,000 cases and we still have three more days.

But what’s even more alarming is the new prediction for August.

140,000 Cases

Experts from UP are saying that COVID-19 cases may reach 140,000 by the end of August. Dr. Guido David from the UP-OCTA Research says that this is because the recorded daily cases have been reaching the 2,000s over the past few days. (Read: Bishop Broderick Pabillo Tests Positive for COVID-19)

Dr. David adds that most cases are now coming from the National Capital Region (NCR), as Cebu City is already flattening their curve. “Na fa-flatten na yung curve sa Cebu (City), so ibig sabihin saan nanggagaling ‘tong cases na ‘to? Mostly sa NCR talaga,” he says.

“Iyong trend sa NCR is pataas, at saka di lang sa NCR, pati sa Calabarzon, nadamay din siya sa NCR,” Dr. David adds.

RECOVERED. Forty-two Covid-19 patients are in jubilant mood after receiving the good news that they have recovered while in isolation at the Cebu City Quarantine Center on July 3, 2020. (Photo courtesy of Cebu City Hall PIO / Philippine News Agency)

Dr. David adds that it could be best if NCR will be put on a stricter quarantine once again to help control the spread of the disease. (Read: 3 Secrets to Protect Yourself From Viruses In Crowded Places)

Ang pinaka concern talaga natin ngayon ‘yung mga hospitals kung nag open tayo ngayon, kung i-allow natin ang GCQ (general community quarantine), ang mangyayari is kung may mga magkakasakit di na sila tatanggapin sa mga hospitals,” he says.

As of July 28, there are 82,040 confirmed COVID-19 cases, 26,446 recoveries, and 1,945 deaths. Metro Manila is still the top region for the most number of cases, having recorded 45,367 cases—more than half of the entire country’s total.

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